The shooting down of a Russian jet by Turkey yesterday underscores yet again just how many proxy wars are going on in the region and just how old enmities are resurfacing, despite increases in trade and investment over recent years.
For example, only a few weeks ago the Turkish president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, was photographed chatting to Russian President Vladimir Putin in the Kremlin. Russia is Turkey’s No.2 trading partner. Trade has increased to more than $32.7bn annually, according to the Russian government, and a deal was signed with Russia to help build a $20bn nuclear plant in Turkey.
However, old hatreds and the history of this region concerns the constant Russian push to the South and the constant Turkish/Ottoman push to the East. Every few generations, these two major powers clash – and the battle for Syria is no exception. Although the line spun by the Europeans and Americans (particularly since the Paris bombing) is that there is a common enemy in Isil, this is not the case.
The war in Syria is a patchwork of various different mini-wars, with many of the main supposed allies actually locked into a generational war with each other. So, for example, the Russians support Assad – who the Turks can’t stand. The Turks worry about the Kurds, who the Russians are happy to arm. The Turks (or, at least, this Turkish government) looks on as Isil fighters have infiltrated Syria through Turkey’s borders, largely because Isil is a threat to Hezbollah – who are supported by Turkey’s enemy, Iran. And guess who is Iran’s mate on the global stage? Russia!
These crucial alliances and simmering hatreds are misunderstood by many in the West, because we don’t learn about the history – and particularly the economic history – of this region, which for millennia was the centre of the world.
Nowhere will you see these patterns more evident than in Istanbul, which is one of the world’s great cities. Last year, I spent a little while in the Turkish capital – and the experience allowed me to appreciate that yesterday’s Turkish downing of a Russian plane wasn’t an accident.
Istanbul has been at the centre of the world for close to 2,000 years, stretching down the ages from the Roman Eastern Empire to the centre of the Ottoman Empire. The Ottomans were eventually deposed and replaced by Ataturk and his extraordinary secular vision in the early 20th century. He fashioned the new Republic out of the twin ingredients of international science and Turkish nationalism.
Over the years the city has been home to Jews, Greeks, Slavs, Armenians and Georgians, as well as the Muslim Turk population. It has been one of the three great Muslim Caliphates, the centre of the flourishing sophistication of the Christian Orthodox Church at a time when Rome was home to barbarians, and it was also the site of Judaism’s finest synagogues.
You can see the imprint of all these great tribes in the architecture, the places of worship and the markets. You can feel the 19th century European aspirations of the Ottoman merchant class in the wide, French-designed boulevards – but its narrow, higgledy-piggledly lanes tell you this isn’t Paris, London or Berlin. It smells of the Orient, yet large parts look like the West. This is the echo of all who have passed through, set up home and then moved on again. Most of the Greeks, Jews and Armenians left in the 20th century.
However, one constant has been the Bosphorus Strait, linking the Black Sea, Russia and the Mediterranean.
For thousands of years this was the single most important trading route in the world and, even today, it still feels like this. Every day, massive Russian cargo ships plough through it, heading from the Black Sea to the Mediterranean. This is where East meets West, and it is critically important.
Is it any surprise that this is where Winston Churchill chose to attack Ataturk in 1915?
One hundred years ago, the Irish were the first troops who landed in Gallipoli. To put the futility and slaughter in context, the Royal Dublin Fusiliers and the Royal Munster Fusiliers were the first to attack the Turks from the SS River Clyde. Of the first 200 men to leave the ship, 149 were killed and 30 wounded immediately.
But the Turks remember that the British were in cahoots with the Russians against the last remnants of the Ottoman Empire.
The Turks also remember earlier in the 19th century, when Russian troops attacked the Ottoman Empire and secured major lands north of the Black Sea, in what is now modern-day Ukraine, and huge tracts of territory by the Caspian Sea. They remember that Britain looked the other way.
And, worse still, the British Empire allied itself with Persia – the Ottoman’s enemy – rather than supporting Istanbul in its fight against Imperial Russia.
All this may seem in the distant past, but it forms the geopolitical framing for the disaster that is Syria. The Cold War simply solidified alliances that are much older and continue to play a pivotal, and sometimes unheralded, role in our recent history.
For example, people here seem to forget the famous Cuban Missile Crisis was actually solved by Turkey. Turkey is also NATO’s biggest army, despite being quite far away from the North Atlantic. It has been America’s bulwark against Russia for over half a century, yet still has one of the most vibrant communist parties in the world.
In short, the world – and particularly, the world that is loosely described as Asia Minor – is complex, fragile and fragmented. Almost 12 million people have been displaced already by war. Two of the main states – Iraq and Syria – are failed states and will never again be rebuilt.
Isil has emerged out of that stateless vacuum – but it is by no means the major protagonist.
We are dealing with a massive, intricate, geopolitical game of chess – whereby remote leaders move pawns around to garner some strategic advantage and innocent people get killed.
As always.
A picture is worth a thousand words. Although I have some doubts about it’s accuracy, this is brilliant:
http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_world_/2014/07/17/the_middle_east_friendship_chart.html
Russia completely missed off above chart.
Apparently, the day before the Russian plane was shot down, oil trucks owned by Balil Erdogan, the Turkish President’s son, were attacked by the Russians. It seems Balil is one of the principal agents trading in ISIS oli.
peter
Some interesting historical stuff in the article but the analysis of the present conflict is flawed. Neither Iraq or Syria are or were “failed states” they are states where the neocons in the US and NATO have decided to institute “regime change” because it suits their purposes. In Iraq we had the famous non existent weapons of mass destruction on which clear and proven lies the west invaded a sovereign nation. That State is definitely failed now because we bombed the shit out of it and killed close to a million men, women and children. In Libya, which is now… Read more »
A super political analysis very wide ranging in scope. I find it difficult to make overall connection to underlying economic imperatives but I suppose it would be very difficult to do so considering the myriad of factions.
Since you are talking about aisa minor it is worth remembering this close to christmas that the first Santa
Hasn’t history shown us that major financial crises are usually followed by catastrophic wars? We’ve had the financial crisis…storm’s a-comin’!
The American led invasion of Iraq in 2003 ranks as being as dumb a move as American involvement in Vietnam ( for a decade). Irish americans didn’t have the guts to criticise either. The use of Shannon as a transport hub for 6,000 American troops each week hasn’t gone unnoticed in the Islamic world, the days of feeling safe while holding an Irish passport are long gone. Irish politicians have continually refused to say NO to foreign interests. That’s the price the Yanks demand for turning a blind eye to Irish illegals in Boston and the use of Irish tax… Read more »
https://hindesightletters.com/blog/has-fed-bought-farm-sean-corrigan/?utm_source=HindeSight+Blog+Subscribers&utm_campaign=d4708f04f4-Fed_Farm&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_a70c6e658d-d4708f04f4-299801525
Inflation moving into fixed assets??
US scam and corruption in their wars of destablization and devastation.
http://www.ceasefire.ca/?p=22688
The current regime in Washington is playing on a “global chessboard” (the term was devised by US foreign policy opinion-maker and “geo-startegist”, Zbigniew Brzezinski). Brzezinski, has already been instrumental in the creation of one Frankenstein monster. After 9/11, he should have been in a state of permanent disgrace. But, instead he has become a dominant thinker in foreign policy circles. The imperial faction in Washington, are playing games similar to those played in France, in th 1700s. They are aiming for complete pervasive full spectrum dominance. The neo-con agenda was to use US military personnel to achieve this. It was… Read more »
BORDER TENSIONS
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=382njADcWvE
US perfidy. Warn the truck drivers before bombing them. Do not get around to attacking the oil conveys for 12 months. Ally Turkey absorbs a huge amount of oil sales to fund ISIS. US supplies weapons to ISIS. ISIS grows from Al Qaeda et al in a deliberate policy to overthrow Assad formulated years ago. Middle East despots including Saudi Arabia arm and fund ISIS.
Corruption rules. Bankers, Oil barons, etc rule the world.
http://ep.yimg.com/ty/cdn/realityzone/NTKusGaveISIS45minuteWarningBeforeBombs.html
I think the headline “Centuries-old enmities are behind current tensions along the Turkish border” is misleading.
On first sight it is plausible. On reflection one becomes aware that these local enmities are being used by the Powers That Be, to pull strings to create the destruction of yet another Middle East state. Vilifying Russia is a bonus.
http://www.infowars.com/us-caught-giving-isis-missile-launchers/
One of the differences today, from the days of the “Centuries-old enmities”, is that then, unlike today, there was never likely to be limited nuclear strike. With the US, UK, and the rest of NATO having already bombed five countries back to the stone age, under the famous Vietnam War adage “we’ve got to destroy them to save them”, they now seem determined to replicate this “policy” ever more. For myself, this is the most depressing time of my life, in terms of the international situation. I always believed hat the west stood for, generally, trying to improve the plight… Read more »
http://www.jsmineset.com/2015/11/29/can-you-handle-the-ugly-truth/
Bill Holter commentary
Not only are the financial markets rigged, they are distorted beyond credibility.
Economically speaking the whole economy is one big lie. Politically speaking the politicians are also a big lie as they pretend the economy is what it isn’t. Nations war against each other based on lies and distortions. Commentators do not ask the questions needed to expose the lies, thus the main stream media is a big lie.
CAN YOU HANDLE THE UGLY TRUTH?
http://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2015/11/28/capitalism-at-work-paul-craig-roberts/
Lies, austerity, corruption and degradation result in following the banker maxim.
What the banker creates from nothing must be repaid with the flesh of women, pennies at a time.
Fire the central bankers, reinstate sovereignty, sovereign honest money and reclaim your dignity. Will you wait until your mother, wife or daughter takes to the streets to survive before you do anything to change.
http://fktv.is/3-stories-that-show-the-war-of-terror-is-a-fraud-27453 Centuries old enmities are being fostered and duplicated by the CIA and western intelligence to provoke the illusion of the world being taken over by terrorism. I revert to my original supposition that there is a concerted plot to break the western industrial democracies one way or another in order for one world government to step in to clean up the mess and save the people. Perpetual slavery is the goal for us by TPTB. Do not be deluded. Bankers and big pharma are providing toxic solutions to manufactured problems. The money supply and control is nearly accomplished. GMO… Read more »
http://journal-neo.org/2015/11/28/erdogans-russian-roulette-was-it-only-about-oily-revenge/
The shooting down of the Russian plane has nothing to do with ancient enmities but everything to do with US war mongering.