2+2=5
At the end of George Orwell’s novel Nineteen Eighty-Four, the hero, Winston Smith, was prepared to believe this sum.
Having committed the ‘‘thoughtcrime’’ of questioning the system, Winston was rumbled. After a few days in the infamous room 101 he was so broken that he was prepared to believe anything. He was prepared to believe something was true, even though it was obviously false. This is what is called in the book ‘‘doublethink’’, where you can see no inconsistency in saying one thing and thinking another.
Sometimes, when I hear the incessant propaganda concerning the economy and the banks – which is being peddled by the same people who talked about ‘‘soft landings’’ and ‘‘new paradigms’’ a few years ago – I feel that I have walked into the world of Nineteen Eighty-Four, where the rulers have convinced the citizens that black is white. The people who got everything completely wrong during the boom are now on television most nights bleating the mantra that ‘‘there is no alternative’’ to bailing out the banks.
Meanwhile, the entire financial community – which largely caused the mess in the first place – is united in orchestrating a transfer of money from the taxpayer to the banks in order to ‘‘preserve the credibility’’ of our financial system.
Now think about this for a minute. The ‘‘credibility’’ of our financial system is based on giving the average person the bill for the mistakes of the banking system. How can such a transfer of wealth from the innocent to the guilty, the prudent to the profligate, possibly make the system more credible?
Surely bailing out the banks makes Ireland less credible, because evidently, by pumping cash into the banks, we become a society that rewards failure? It is only credible if you have succeeded in changing the meaning of the word ‘credible’. It is only credible if you have managed to make the incredible credible – if you have convinced the people that 2 + 2 = 5.
In Orwell’s classic, the Party understood the value of language, and mangled the dictionary in order to achieve its ends. Our rulers are doing the same thing. Let’s consider the use of the word ‘credible’ when it comes to the Irish banks.
What does the word credible mean to you? To me, if someone is described as credible, she is solid, she is trustworthy, she is believable, she is the type of person who doesn’t make mistakes – and if she does, she takes full responsibility for her actions. A credible person is accountable, straightforward and capable. You believe what she says.
Given these attributes, how could our financial reputation be made more credible if we interfere with capitalism to bail out institutions and individuals that are not trustworthy, not believable, not capable, not accountable and unable to manage their own affairs?
Bailing out the banks makes us less credible, not more credible. Yet the government insists that ‘‘there is no alternative’’or that this is the ‘‘only game in town’’. So we now have a successful company, like Ryanair, and hundreds of successful small businesses which will be penalised and asked to pay higher taxes to bail out a delinquent company like AIB. What sort of signal does such a policy send to the rest of the world?
The first thing a regime that wants to obscure the truth does is to twist the language and distort the message so that things that are bad sound good. Secondly, the regime tries to silence those who might dissent by accusing them of a ‘‘thoughtcrime’’. In a ‘‘spectator democracy’’ like Ireland, mass compliance is achieved by ridiculing the dissenter – or, if necessary, ostracising the individual who suggests that the truth is being hijacked. In the struggle to bulldoze the interests of the few over the many, language is crucial in order to make bad things sound good. Take ‘‘long-term economic value’’. Now think about what these words mean. Consider ‘‘long-term’’.
When something is long-term it sounds solid, well thought out, not spivvy or tricky in any way. When someone’s actions are determined by the long term, they are usually thought of as selfless, unbiased and, almost by definition, these actions are done ‘‘in the common good’’ because they are long-term.
A bit like a gardener planting a tree, which she will never be around to see in full bloom, but future generations will appreciate. So ‘‘long-term’’ signifies good. Now consider ‘‘economic value’’. Well, if something is economic, it is usually regarded as solid and, most important, technical or even scientific. When something has the aura of being technical, it can’t be invented, it must be mechanical, governed by absolutes. So economic is, let’s say, at worst, neutral. And of course ‘‘value’’: well, value signifies worth. Something with value is valuable and is something that will make you wealthy.
So using the normal codes of language, the message sent out by ‘‘long-term economic value’’ is that it has to be, overall, a good thing. In fact, the reality is that ‘‘long-term economic value’’, the concept behind Nama, is just a makey-uppy name for fields in Athlone that are worthless, that will never be worth anything. It is not long-term, it is a short-term rescue scheme for the property/banking oligarchy in Ireland.
Frankly, it has nothing to do with what we know as the modern economy. In fact, the land-based economy which will be preserved using expressions like ‘‘long-term economic value’’ is a feudal economy based on land totally at odds with the government’s vaunted ‘‘smart economy’’, which is based on brains.
In Nineteen Eighty-Four, the distortion of language was called ‘‘newspeak’’, where one thing meant something quite different. ‘‘Thoughtcrimes’’ were there to be stamped out, while ‘‘goodspeak’’ was used to describe anything which supported the ruling party. It is hard not to think of ‘‘goodspeak’’ when you hear bankers and politicians opining on television. A great example of goodspeak is the old chestnut that ‘‘Nama will get credit flowing in the economy’’. No, it won’t. No one in his right mind believes that. The IMF told the government as much in April 2009.
The reality is that Nama will save the ‘insiders’ by giving your money to bank creditors who took a bad bet on AIB and Bank of Ireland. The reason the Irish government pays more for its borrowings than Spain or Portugal does is because the markets see through our bluff and realise the more money that goes into Nama, the less there is to invest in productive ideas.
But you wouldn’t think this from the language used by the government. We are told that bailing out the banks will create wealth. But we know that it won’t. Bankrupt banks are not wealth creators; they are, by definition, wealth destroyers. Nama first and now the recapitalisations are both moving taxpayer resources to the banks, where it will be destroyed. The €4 billlion gone into Anglo last year is gone. In fact, keeping with the Nineteen Eighty Four analogy, Anglo is the room 101 of taxpayer funds.
But the propaganda – the newspeak – tells a different story, so, for example, when things get worse it is spun that they are getting better. In Nineteen Eighty-Four, one of the reliefs from the drudgery is the weekly ration of chocolate. During the course of the book, the ration is cut from 40g to 35g per week. This, of course, is described as an ‘‘increase’’ to 35g per week. Now think about the recapitalisations of the banks. The numbers keep getting worse, yet they are being sold as better. This, of course, is a favourite linguistic trick. As unemployment continues to rise, we are supposed to celebrate when the rise is smaller than expected.
A classic example of this was the finance minister’s reaction to the GDP figures, which last week showed the worst fall ever recorded. Commenting on the figures, Minister for Finance Brian Lenihan said: ‘‘Excluding the impact of the ongoing decline in new house building, GDP was roughly unchanged in the fourth quarter.”
This translates as: ‘‘Excluding the bits that were falling, we weren’t falling!”









I have been reading ‘The Inferno’, or ‘The Divine Comedy, Part 1 – Hell’, by Alighieri Dante, written in the early 1300s. On the bottom ring of hell bar one – the worst next to the abode of the Devil at the centre -, I was tickled, in the circumstances, to learn that’s where he places the pandering fraudsters: ” This Circle holds those sinners condemned for simple Fraud or Malice, that is, those who used fraud on others who put their trust in them, and those who used fraud on those who had no trust invested. These sins (the first class of Fraud) consist of those evil actions that involve the abuse of the specifically human attribute of reason. Those who used fraud on others who put their trust in them include hypocrites, flatters, dabblers in sorcery, falsifiers, thieves and simonists.
This Circle is divided into ten steep-sided Bolgias, Regions, Rings or Ditches, each perhaps twenty-five metres deep and fifty metres wide, in which the different classes of the fraudulent are placed. These Rings run all around the Eighth Circle. Arching bridges, each one about three metres wide, go over each ring, further down into Hell. They drop steeply at the inner end, each Bolge being about seven metres lower then the one immediately outside it.
The guardian of the Eighth Circle is Geryon. Geryon is the personification of Fraud, which can be determined by the fact that the creature has the face of an honest man, but the body of a serpent; his voice is deep, with a queer buzzing quality. Geryon can carry people down to the Eighth Circle, but must be summoned in some manner; throwing a rope down was sufficient for Virgil and Dante. Once he rises out of the depths, Geryon must be bargained with to carry the traveller down to the Eighth Circle…” – http://www.wolfram.demon.co.uk/rp_dante_hell.html#circ_VIII
Justice, maybe in the next world?!
Suggestion on todayfm that if Anglo was closed, it would have a knock on effect on other business, not just banks.. Like Quinn
‘No title for loans…….’
You dont say, ah sure, take the toxic assets anyway sure its an ECB windfall gravy train, what do we care, someone else will be in charge down the line.
Here is some detail on first loans transferring to NAMA:
http://www.rte.ie/news/2010/0330/namaloans.pdf
NAMA website – http://www.nama.ie – see a brief guide to nama released today (PDF) http://bit.ly/bxnRft
So one bank – Anglo Irish – is costing us € 22300000000 to date.
Now you know why the Gardai were interviewing Seanie Fitz. – All done for show in preparation for this scandal.
22.3 billion – Quite a big number. It would take 706.64 years for 22.3 billion seconds to pass.
The ‘Nation’ faces choices, will it do what the American public did and force the politicians to say no, like they did when the first Paulson bill (one page) was rejected after the phones rang off the ringer, an computers almost crashed with emails…………
Ireland’s call indeed!
@paddy 44.
This is how the gov / NAMA scam project is working.
We need to go back in time to 1999……………………….
1. Celtic Tiger up and running restoring Irelands credibility worldwide and the future looking bright for everyone.
2. The gov joins the Euro and the floodgates open for access into the international money markets.
3. The crony networks in behind the scenes in Ireland come to the fore and cannot resist the opportunity the money lending floodgates been opened offer.
4. The ‘insider’ crony networks running the centers of power begin to put the new found prosperity and new found credibility to work taking advantage of the new Euro project Ireland has signed up to.
5. Overtime it becomes clear to the ‘insider’ crony networks that a property boom on the back of the success of the celtic tiger and the joining in of the Euro may have great potential to milk.
6. The insider crony networks begin the property bubble POnzi scam in the words of Lenihan ‘the banks played fast and loose with the regulatory system’ and slowly begin to inflate a PONZI property bubble under the guise it is merely all part of the new celtic economy.
7. Very quickly the orchestrated Ponzi property bubble scam starts to heat up with Anglo leading the charge and the regulator prepared to turn a blind eye and the gov prepared to play along for political cronyism purposes.
8. Meanwhile a landholding section of the country start to join in on the ever escalating property prices going sky wards and buy in to a make a fast buck on the back of the property bubble.
9. Meanwhile over at the banks, the banks start to buy in themselves and a narrow select band of POnzi property bubble bandits and bankster scammers and god knows who else meld into a cartel of interests all encircling the levers of the banks pumping out credit and channeling it into joseph stalin type development projects.
10. Meanwhile the meeja, RTE, Irish times and Sunday Business Post are on their marks fanning the POnzi epidemic now gripping a large swathe of the landholders of Ireland spearheaded at the top by the Dennis the menace cartel with its hand son the banking levers of credit.
11. The Ponzi property bubble gets bigger and bigger and the saner members of the community look on in utter horror and disgust at the rabid greed tearing the celtic tiger to pieces and making a consumer culture reign supreme in Ireland.
12. Meanwhile the banks and the cartels hooked on the rabid avarice now activated go NUTS on the money lending markets using accountancy tricks and the like to crossover the banks into a new type of banking a mutated form called ‘fictional reserve banking’……………..
13. The bubble then BURSTS and everyone runs for cover who are guilty.
14. The facts start to emerge on the Property bubble SCMARAMA and the perpetrators run for the hills.
15. The Gov come out and declare that joe public will have to pay for the banks and cartels hole in their book keeping cos Ireland has an international reputation to keep.
16. NAMA gets rolled out…………………… and as they say the rest is history.
BARF
I heard Olivia Leary’s piece on Drivetime around 6pm. She makes two points, to my mind: 1. Ryan was a disgrace in saying failing to bail out Anglo would force us out of the Euro (actually, while I agree he was trying to scare the children, I wouldn’t be too sure about it being wrong despite what our learned friends may say – she had obviously been reading irisheconomy) and 2. Nama and the bank bailouts are an utter disgrace. I hope RTE play that back – she was very forceful in expressing her opinion.
David, well done for standing your ground on this. You never bottled it.
Who the f**k can you believe on this NAMA thing?
Folks, If you have a strong stomach, watch this Bloomberg clip of Cowen talking about the Irish banks, back in July 2008:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vc8ykHoBXmQ&feature=player_embedded
Anglo is worse than anyone imagined and Lenihan will not itemise the cost of closing it down preferring to throw around propaganda figures taken from the either.
I heard Richard Bruton interviewed by Mary English mention the case of Washington Mutual as example of how to close down a bank.
He also made the point that Anglo’s debts were not taxpayer debts, they belonged to Seanie and crew.
I had to look up the info:)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Washington_Mutual#Bankruptcy
Here’s the interesting bit:
“All assets and most liabilities (including deposits, covered bonds, and other secured debt) of Washington Mutual Bank’s liabilities were assumed by JPMorgan Chase.[35] Unsecured senior debt obligations of the bank of were not assumed by the FDIC, leaving holders of those obligations with little meaningful source of recovery.[3″
So lets see the true cost of a bankruptcy of Anglo? Anybody like to write up the figures and hold them up against Lenihan’s cost of saving the Anglo pile of toxic rubbish that Seanie/Lenihan and cronies are foisting on us?
Lets assume we are not going to pay:
1. subordinated debt
2. Unsecured senior debt
Lets say “deposits, covered bonds, and other secured debt” we’ll transfer and distribute fairly among remaining viable banks, AIB/BOI and Permanent TSB, in some form of debt for equity swap supported by taxpayers?
Any economists out there now we have the figures from today able to do the Math on this?
Also note the taxpayer – on – tap theme from today with the failure to publish final haircut figures?
From rte.ie today..
19.27 The Taoiseach has said a global financial crisis has led Ireland to where it is at present, he said an open economy like Ireland is affected like any other.
WELL, THE TAIOSEACH IS WRONG. IT WAS PROPERTY BUBBLE, THAT WAS ALWAYS GOING CRASH. SIMPLE.
WHEN IS ‘COWEN’ GOING TO ‘GET’ THAT IT WAS HIS FAILURE TO ENSURE PROPER FINANCIAL REGULATION IN THE BANKING SYSTEM, FOR WHICH HE, AS MINISTER FOR FINANCE HAD RESPONSIBILITY FOR, THAT ALLOWED BANKS TO TRADE RECKLESSLY. AND, AS MINISTER FOR FINANCE WATCHED AS THE ECONOMY, FOR WHICH HE HAD RESPONSIBILITY FOR, POURED ITS RESOURCES INTO CONSTRUCTION AND PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT.
PLEASE, NEVER EVER VOTE FIANNA FAIL AGAIN
Here here!!
Think this post should be printed off and sent in paper form x 100,000 to Cowen, the Cabinet and FF backbenchers!
Cowen on news has upped cost of Anglo wind down to 100 billion euros.
These throwaway propaganda comments need to be challenged and backed up with figures on a small datasheet.
Anglo results this week, anybody ready to do the math?
Within the past week Dukes quotes the figure of wind down as around 20 billion. In the Dail today, Lenihan said cost of wind down to be 30 billion.
This reckless and shocking abuse of facts and the public right to know
incredible and unbelievable.
You can believe nothing from these people.
Blogged: Stephen Kinsella, this minute:
http://www.stephenkinsella.net/2010/03/30/groundhog-day/
Lenihan is on the tv telling me that WE cannot repudiate our debts.
They are our debts not Seanie’s. I think he means FF debts!
Dukes is a bit of an embarrassment, Lenihan says last week Dukes figure was not 20 billion for a windown, it was between 19 and 24 billion over ten years.
You wanna hear Cowen, get a podcast of the RTE news, he actually uses the figure of 100 billion as the cost of wind down.
These guys can’t even get their own stories right?
I’m still looking for the actual cost of Anglo wind down. We need to get down to the real figures.
So, who’s gonna step up to cbweb’s challenge. Folks, if someone supplies the numbers it is easy to produce a Google Spreadsheet that can be shared publically with a simple URL link. If you have a Google account you are all ready to go. Otherwise sign up for one. Let’s have something real simple — the cost of NAMA versus proposed alternative(s). The assumptions can be documented separately (a Google doc?). We don’t want to get mired in the “investors have short memories” vs. “investors will never darken our door again” controversy on the spreadsheet itself. It might be a good idea to just provide a source for each number, so we know what it is based on.
I’m sure people here visit other forums to comment … this would give you something to link to with (hopefully) solid numbers to back up NAMA alternatives. If someone wants to provide the numbers but doesn’t want to tackle the spreadsheet, I’ll do that bit. Or, we can open the spreadsheet up to collaborative editing by everyone or a select few.
Start Google Spreadsheets:
http://www.google.com/googlespreadsheets/try_out.html
ps2oo306
Anyone with their head screwed on right way no the ‘there is no alternatives is baloney’.
Sure its the very loopers pushing NAMA with this spin who up until 18 months ago said there was no property bubble.
So doing the numbers is fair enough but the looper s in charge know the numbers and are very much looking forward to another ECB cash bonanaza.
wills — so far the “no alternatives to NAMA” crowd have argued that any conceivable alternative would cost MORE than NAMA.
We have no moral duty to bail out the banks; we are only doing it allegedly as a matter of expediency because it is the least worst option. Even Cowen is not barefaced enough to suggest anything beyond that.
So, I am suggesting countering that spin here with facts. And indeed, I want to see the numbers myself, because even though NAMA looks like it’ll take us all to hell in a handbasket, I haven’t actually seen numbers on the other side (i.e. for a NAMA alternative) that have been widely critiqued and stood the test of scrutiny.
So I am suggesting that some cold hard figures are a better antidote to NAMA spin than any amount of speculation about a conspiracy of “insiders”.
—- NOTE TO SELF —-
March, 30th, 2010
“Republic” of Ireland
All relevant democratic fundaments were destroyed in Ireland today. Instead, a system of totalitarian bureaucrats and eurocrats that performed high treason on the Irish nation are empowered.
It was observed since long, that the Irish Republic developed into a 1Tier political system utilizing bribery, fraud and continuous systemic abuse to maintain power and enrich themselves. They built a web of humongous proportions, utterly useless bureaucratic departments, semi state agencies with no function whatsoever, severely overpaid, but useful party friends to maintain status quo. Crooks, criminals and wanna-bee politicians were governing this small country since decades. A phletora of funeral attending TD’s that barely could write their own name, jabbering party policies like a parrot, they ran up millions of taxpayers money in unaccounted expenses, but this was just the tip of the iceberg.
Today the Irish Republic relinquished to the new breed of predator capitalist fascism that has made a significant footprint in europe in the past 20 years.
Those in opposition will have to be asked what did they do to stop this from happening, but in fact, there is no opposition in this country, they were all fed from the same trough that bankers and developers provided for them in tents on race courses.
The events of late, the PR stunt arrest of Fitzpatrick, the Union’s arrangements with government, Quinn Insurance to name but a few, it is a well orchestrated and stage managed act, drip feeding the public with the true level of Heist they are still performing.
As long as the irish public does not chase these crooks all together out of government buildings, out of the banks and into the river, as long as there is no massive and continuous protest against these fascistoid crooks and their ideologies, Ireland has relinquished it’s future to the new breed of slave traders.
This is a sad day.
Storm force winds drive the atlantic onto it’s shores while I am typing here. No shots are fired, no church bells ring, not a hint of revolution is in the air, not a single soul is on the streets in Irish cities to voice their protest, they sit in front of a Television set and watch the Late Late Show or similar dumbstruck mob entertainment instead.
Many of the vibrant and hopeful youth fled this country already, Ireland is dead, ruined by a handful of criminals. The back country of Donegal appears in a different light now, not so long ago, poverty stricken to it’s core, people abused by english landlords and their terror, some were still around who could tell a story or two.
One day in the distant future, some will be around to tell a story or two.
This is a sad day in deed.
Remember, remember, the fifth of November. Guy Fawkes was hung, drawn and quartered. Such punishment for treason was still existing in irish law not that long ago.
NEVER FORGET THE HIGH TREASON THAT THESE PEOPLE COMMITTED ON THE IRISH NATION!
Remember, remember, the 30th of March, 2010.
Beautifully put Laughingbear,
As Yeats said:
All changed, changed utterly:
A terrible beauty is born.
Yesterday was hailed as a bad day for Ireland, but I think it was a good day. What was bad was the vanity and stupidity of the past 10 years ; a day when the cost of it all is crystallised for all to see is a good day. There are many questions to be debated, but one question looms largest for me, because it’s time to start pointing fingers.
http://www.politics.ie/economy/126874-why-hasnt-ahern-been-run-out-ireland.html
Ditto for all his hanger-ons.
A lot done, more to do!
Paddy
Well said Paddy.
I agree, the last 10 years was the problem, we’re now at the solution end of the story. I wouldn’t see NAMA as the solution at all, but I fully agree with you that this catharsis is exactly what the doctor ordered. We were wound up like a spring and there was only one outcome. If you were exposed to that much lift / upside / shits & giggles, you surely knew that it had to come to an end, didn’t you? But they many didn’t Paddy and they want to boast about their house prices in the good times and then seek community togetherness in the bad times. I want compassion for those who may lose their home; not a doormat to be made from the shirts on our backs.
[...] Big Brother walks among us | David McWilliams – 2+2=5 At the end of George Orwell’s novel Nineteen Eighty-Four, the hero, Winston Smith, was prepared to believe this sum. Having committed the ”thoughtcrime” of questioning the system, Winston was rumbled. After a few days in the … [...]