I’m writing this from the Starbucks at the world’s largest shopping centre; the place is vast. Westfield in Shepherd’s Bush, west London, opened last October.
With 300 shops and 50 restaurants, it makes Dundrum Town Centre look like a 1950s Londis in Cavan.
It is so huge you are given a map so that you don’t get lost. Most shoppers are studying these co-ordinates closely for fear that they take a wrong turn and are never seen again. This is a GPS system for people with maxed-out credit cards.
Westfield is the Victoria Beckham of shopping centres: it is loud, brash, pushy and most of all, brandtastic.
The people behind Westfield have obviously got into the heads of the people who are shopping here. The owners’ aim is quite simple: you can read their manifesto from the huge lifestyle ad at the entrance, which states boldly that Westfield is a “fabulous place, for fabulous people”. Because it is the incarnation of global high-end shopping, it is a wonderfully rich savannah in which to watch the various different shopping tribes roam, many trying desperately to look and be different but ending up being crushingly similar.
But we have the Joseph tribe, the Habitat tribe, the Armani tribe and the Calvin Klein tribe all brushing up against each other, professing their affinity with each brand. When they head into Armani Exchange, for example, they are not saying, “Oh I like that”; rather they are stating, “I am like that”, this is my church and these are my people.
What makes this tribal issue interesting is that the allure of the brand supersedes, or at least co-exists, with all sorts of other tribal touchstones. The Saudi women in full burkas can happily entertain both Allah and Accessorize, while their less observant sisters are tottering on six-inch Manolo Blahnicks, dolled up with thick suggestive eyeliner made all the more alluring because their dark eyes are accentuated by a black hijab.
The black teenagers with their bleached white trainers who roll around the place looking menacing, snarling like caged dogs at the authority of the State, behave like little lambs, whimpering and bleating when faced with the authority of Tommy Hilfiger.
The first floor is full of skinny stick insects who you can barely see from the side. They look as if they haven’t eaten since Christmas and are obsessed with the natural world. They eschew processed food because it is not natural but crowd around the cosmetics stand and spend fortunes on face cream.
Maybe when they are not focusing on their chakras at the One World Yoga centre, they should be reminded that L’Oreal has protested against the EU’s ban on animal testing by lodging a case at the European Court of Justice in Luxembourg.
Lots of un-athletic people who’ve just driven up to the nearest exits in the labyrinthine car park so that they don’t have to walk too far, waddle around in fitness tracksuits. These people who probably haven’t broken sweat since 1987 are knocking back energy sports drinks as if they’ve just finished a triathlon. Meanwhile, others who clearly have never been up a hill as little as the Sugarloaf and don’t like the rain, are buying all-weather Matterhorn mountaineering gear at a shop called the North Face.
The Apple tribe, who look down their technically sophisticated nose at the rest of the laptop-buying world swarm around the Apple store marvelling at the phenomenal capacity and the graphics capability of the new Mac Book. In reality, all they use it for is googling cheap flights and downloading CDs from iTunes to upload them onto their new iPod shuffle. Yet these people are proselytisers; they are the Jehovah’s Witnesses of the IT world. I’ve never met an Apple Mac user who doesn’t try to convert you.
An Orthodox Jewish family pass me by, the man sweating as he pushes two three-year-old girls, perversely in thick woollen tights, in a buggy. I’m not surprised he’s feeling the heat. The huge black overcoat in the 27 degrees sunshine might have something to do with it. Despite living by strict rituals laid down in 500BC by Moses and the Torah, he’s glued to his Blackberry which is kosher as long as he doesn’t text on the Sabbath.
And despite looking like he’s just stepped out of a 17th century Polish shetl and as though he spends his waking hours praying for the Messiah to turn up, he’s happy to make a beeline for the thoroughly 21st century lifestyle heaven of Habitat, frock tails and ringlets flying as he rounds the corner with the buggy. In Habitat, he’s checking out the 0pc interest rate sofa financing deals, which promise true believers that they can buy now, pay later.
And this is the nub of the issue. How, when Britain is on the verge of being downgraded by the rating agencies, can this place be so packed? Now granted, today is a bank holiday Monday, but the shopping centre is jammed, despite the heatwave.
The reason it is full is that the Brits are doing everything in their power to stave off the recession and prevent it turning into a depression.
Forget all the stuff about “green shoots”; what is in the balance here is the difference between a recession and a depression and the British authorities know it. They are printing money when possible and borrowing to keep the show on the road.
Sterling has been allowed to collapse and there is no sense that they are worried about it falling further. In short, they are trying to borrow their way out of a recession that was caused by too much borrowing in the first place. The 0pc sofa finance deals in Habitat are the thin edge of the wedge, emblematic of a society, like our own, that has run up a financial cul de sac. We think that by borrowing and spending more people’s money now, we will get out of this hole and then escape the ramifications of a 10-year binge.
The whole of the English-speaking world is at the same game. If we get away with it, we will simply transfer the weight of our debts on to the next generation.
But the real test is in the government bond markets. Are they prepared to accept our IOUs yet again? Hardly, which is why a crash in the global bond market in the months ahead is probably going to mark the next phase in the first Great Recession of the 21st century.
Whatever happens, we are in an intellectual conundrum because the whole point of our economies can’t surely be more of the same, more debts and more stuff made in China ending up mothballing in the wardrobes of the West.









Folks,
While FF deserve the reaction they will get in 7 days due to their fostering and now cleaning up after Anglo, please done forget the half a dozen senior staff in Anglo who took north of 30m each out of this sorry episode and who are now sitting pretty on a tidy pile.
Throughout this sorry episode getting ever worse in recent weeks it has struck me how the names Fitzpatrick, Drumm (not enough) and their head of Finance (not nearly enough) are being overlooked in favour of Lenihan and Cown as easier lazier targets. Dont get me wrong, these buffoons are complicit in this crap.
However, the three names above and three or so more senior sales people in Anglo cleaned up in the period 2004 to 2007 and are sitting on personal wealth in the order of 20-100m each (Fitzy at the top end.).
In months to come when the extent of the lending madness is eventually face up to and the nuclear falout eventually clears these gangsters MUST be brought to book. ALL OF THEM need to be brought to book by the ODCE (one of the few entities to come out of this saga with any credibility) and extensive detailed books of evidence must be presented to the DPP and CAB if sufficient evidence can be found – for it surely exists.
Please dont allow out current justifiable disgust and fury at FF distract us from the real fookers who benefitted out of this. I suspect it these people who hold the trump cards over the politicicos in that they paid their political donations in their early noughties and are now calling in their favours.
Alan
A timely intervention Alan.
“Irelands Most Wanted” would make a great program for Primetime to redeem itself.
Anyone got any private photos of the Galway Tent for starters?
alan75, well said; I agree. I have said here before (though it is not popular, as I am misconstrued as, simply, “defending FF”) that people can complain all they want about Cowen earning more than Obama, but how on God’s earth can bankers be allowed to earn TEN times what the leader of a country earns?
These guys were raking in salaries like winning the lotto every single year that they worked. Life-altering amounts of money, year-in-year-out, EVERY year! Then, like mickey fingers, they leave with a pension of 27 million euro to cap it all off! As it turns out, these seem to have been mind-altering amounts of money as well, since they all seem to have been as high as kites on the bubble, just like a halucinogenic narcotic.
I know an ex-gambler who got that “high” on the gambling drug years ago and he lost everything, including his house. He was not re-capitalised by anyone; no bailout for him: he was sent “away” to St John o’ God’s till he got better.
The lads you refer to in your post need the same treatment; they are sick; they need to have all their money and “toys” taken away by the CAB and they need to be sent “away” and receive treatment and NEVER, ever, be allowed to work in the banking sector to gamble with OUR money again!
The banker earning €3 million lets Cowen, earning €300K take the flak and the blame in the media; then Cowen lets the public sector worker, earning €30K take the blame in the media; and everyone forgets, while fighting eachother, that it was your boyos at the top of the banks earning MILLIONS, that really caused the problem. (actually, I suspect that Cowen’s own personal finances are in the toilet because of this whole mess – and I bet he is not alone there, either.)
Thanks for reminding us.
Tim: well said. Maybe cowen and co. can pluck up the courage, be so moved by confluence of present events, so devastatingly put by mannix flynn at link, and cut loose from the master’s whip and call Plod in on the gangster bankers and oligarch’s and free Rep. Ireland.
http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/weekend/2009/0530/1224247719200.html?via=mr
Folks, this link from wills should be REQUIRED reading for every politician, every voter and every person in this country.
Can I please put 2 questions here? (I posted two child-welfare related missives in the last week and received NO response; but an indirect one from Malcolm – thanks – I wonder why?)
Q 1 : Why will we allow our state to take away books from school children next September?
Q 2 : Why will we allow our state to continue to legalise the physical assault of children by their own parents?
All answers appreciated.
wills, I have been listening to Mannix Flynn for about 20 years now. They laughed at him back then; thought he was mad.
I really do hope that he gets elected next week onto Dublin City Council; we need him and many more like him.
What would happen if you put Flynn, Mcguinness, O’Brien, Behan, Higgens and Ross in the same room as McWilliams?
They might form “The People’s Party”.
(Deco?)
Tim – I am unable to log on the final vital part of that report you requested maybe tomorrow?
John Allen, thanks; that will do nicely.
Furrylugs, I googled “the Galway tent” on images and I found this:
http://images.google.ie/imgres?imgurl=http://dublinopinion.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/seanfitzpatrick1_207114t-1.JPG&imgrefurl=http://dublinopinion.com/2008/12/23/its-a-wonderful-life-says-anglo-execs/&usg=__cysEP6zUBXSl9e2MNhJ71CIBC1g=&h=319&w=312&sz=16&hl=en&start=12&tbnid=GOM2n_a2mdpAEM:&tbnh=118&tbnw=115&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dthe%2Bgalway%2Btent%26gbv%3D2%26hl%3Den%26safe%3Doff%26client%3Dfirefox-a%26rls%3Dorg.mozilla:en-GB:official%26sa%3DG
Its a hoot!
Tim: gem link.
“Irish people are only able to be happy in hindsight” – Des Bishop.
I think this sums up next Friday, Cowen, Kenny and Gilmore, enjoy comrades :-)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=awskKWzjlhk&feature=PlayList&p=F2F8C47BF5D6E917&playnext=1&playnext_from=PL&index=2
Latest update….The ‘FF newspaper’ has called for Anglo Irish Bank to be wound up….
http://www.independent.ie/opinion/editorial/anglo-is-broken-dont-try-to-fix-it-1756584.html
The writing is on the wall for ANIB. Either ANIB gets binned or Joe Higgins takes Eoin Ryan’s seat. That is Cowen’s conundrum for the next five days. Both ways he is a loser. The strange thing is that Eoin Ryan, as an individual, is highly effective and intelligent MEP candidate, and should be over the finish line. It is just that he has freinds that are millstone around his neck. Expect lower rank FF to want to rally around Ryan if loses patience with Cowen and ‘says something’. Especially if it is in reference to the banking policy.
Now, folks this means that the government will first have to create a pretext for kicking ANIB out of the government gaurantee scheme. The 8 Billion or thereabouts ‘loan’ from Permo when the accounts where being created would be a very good pretext. But I think that a trouncing in the elections is more likely to weigh on the mind of Cowen.
Basically, the government has to stop thinking it can hold up the property market.
Ditherer’s brother said that the money for ANIB was not coming from PAYE or the income levy, but from the National Pension Reserve Fund. This is a technique known as distancing. [Eh, excuse me Mr. Ahern-but that is still taxpayers money !!!] Well, there goes the national pension reserve fund-forever. Lenihan is very determined, and is now behaving in a singlemindedness that is reminiscent of Ahern and the Bertie Bowl (which is now a much cheaper farce than Anglo).
It is to be expected that a cabinet reshuffle will take place – a bit like changing the staff roster for the nightwatch on the Titanic. This will not affect the Greens, but it some notoriously unpopular ministers will be told that they are going to the backbenches. This would be an improvement.
Another effect of winding down ANIB, would be the disintegration of EBS and INBS. That would leave Permo (about two years away from insolvency) and AIB/BoI(do we really know the real picture) in Irish banking. The healthiest of the unhealthy. It would also drive property prices down faster. (Hard sharp landing). And the next six months would see a massive increase in unemployment, and massive price deflation. And then it would settle. We would have found solid ground. And the national pension fund could be applied to a better use-like buying up the cheap apartments and renting them back on the market. The return would keep the state accounts in good shape and would ensure that we would be in a better shape.
I get the feeling that Cowen, Coughlan and Lenihan are trying to postpone the inevitable. They are playing a game called the preservation of the appearance that all is well. But they completely underestimate the intelligence of the average voter. [so do the other political entities to various degrees-with the possible exception of lone independent candidates].
Shay Brennan will be neither a politician or a banker, at the taxpayers expense. If he wants he can join the dole and learn a little bit about the legacy of economic legacy of Bertie Ahern.
Alan Ahearne is a smart economist, and he will do a good job – but I doubt that even he will be able to solve the conundrum that is ANIB. Ahearne understands the essential elements to fixing the Irish economy-the same issues that David has mentioned repeatedly in these articles. But fixing ANIB now is really really difficult.
Basically the Minister kicks ANIB out of the gaurantee. Then a deposit run starts. (Joe Duffy will provide commentary again). Then the minister orders ANIB to close it’s doors. An evaluation of the asset base takes place. The loans get sold on the market to other banks (forget NAMA). The depositors get their money on a graduated scale. The loans are called up. The borrowers will go into default. But these are borrowers that are completely insolvent currently. So it really makes no difference – except that it happens faster. The borrowers then have to get their accounts in order – sell their assets. This is mostly commercial property and development property. This will drive down rents and result in other defaults eventually. But this is because of the sheer overvaluation that has taken place over the past five years.
Along the way funding for EBS and INBS will freeze completely. And they will go the same way as ANIB. At some point you will have property prices so low that a massive proportion of the population will be able to stump up 30% deposits and buy residential property. That will be the end of the crisis. When demand meets supply, on a 30% deposit for mortgage basis. That in itself will completely change the lifestyle and behaviour of consumers. There will be structural deleveraging. Wages in construction will be awful.
But, there will be more capital available for generating real material and services for the economy. And that will get us back going again. We will take a different track to economic recovery. More like Israel, Singapore and Sweden. We will change our path and steer away from trying to emulate London or Florida.
What Cowen is doing is crossing the fingers behind his back and hoping that we can get sustainable growth without enduring bank failures along the way.
Nobody has evaluated which side of this decision we should be making as a society. That is the key decision that will be lurking in people’s subconscious on polling day. The people will tell the political system to do better thinking. The people will tell the political system that they want to see capitalist consequences to capitalist misadventure. Interestingly enough, the demise of FF is very similar to the demise of the British Labour Party. Both have internal divisions, and dissenters. Both have rumours of leadership challenges. Both have beleagured leaders, and incompetent spin doctors. Both are in denial of the level of discontent. Both have gambled on property-finance-high leveraged consumption patters. Both have failed. Both are in serious trouble.
Deco: fully in agreement with analysis all the way. Let me take it a step further though. ANIB is at the center of a power struggle raging away behind the scenes. The main players involved are embarked upon a battle of vanities and are prepared to drag Ireland down into the abyss with them whom ever comes out of this out of pocket.
Somebody in all of this intrigue will loose big time and whom ever it is will drag every one else down with them. The key players know this. They all have dirt on each other and just like G’s link it’s a narrative that will can only end in a blood bath.
Nobody is taking responsibility. It is written all over some of the key players faces,. and these shysters are so up to their necks in corruption and compromise and double dealing and i figure all these b@srtards are merely playing a ‘blink first your dead’ game.
I really think nobody at the top gives a flying fu@k about elections. It’s down to who is going to loose their shirt in the final reckoning and they all know i think this is inevitable cos they all know there is no way will the taxpayers continue to fund this whats destined to be ‘bomb fire of the vanities’.
@ wills
I worked in politics for over 2 years, canvassing solidly 7 days a week, I heard the stories, the internal intrigues, saw the deeds, I helped get an FF asshole elected to the Dail (to my eternal shame)
I agree with every word you said. The guy I knew didn’t give a rats ass about the ‘electorate’ it was all about power (and money to a lesser extent)……….
The guys karma was bad from day one, and while I do not wish him ill (bad karma on me), time will sort him out. But I will say one thing, I mean this with deadly seriousness, the guy was the closest thing to Hitler that I ever came across.
I spotted this but was persuaded by an old and trusted friend to go against my better judgement, a mistake I will never make again. If he ever gets to the top job (and that is his only goal), well……….it isn’t worth thinking because he would put Cowen in the ha’penny place.
G, can you give us a hint?
Good link here on the type of rotting festering culture irelands society is knee deep in.
http://www.independent.ie/opinion/columnists/eoghan-harris/stop-emoting-just-show-us-the-money-archbishop-1749389.html
wills, be careful……….. the writer of this article is, himself, guilty of this:
“”He waters the flowers of speech with the brineless tears of a flabby remorse without one fibre of resolve in it, and which impoverishes the character as it enriches the vocabulary.”
This man is a liar, an onbfuscator, and an apologist for the POnzi-rep. Nearly ten years ago, he told me that what was wrong with the teaching profession was that CL, our trade union general secretary, had “lost control of his executive”. The problem is, wills, that the executive is supposed to be in control of the gen sec.! Harris is the enemy. The Gen sec he referred to had to be gotten rid of later for stealing from union subs. It cost over €200,000 to get rid of him. Harris thought he was a great fella altogether and that I was wrong for trying to get rid of him.
Don’t trust Harris.
obfuscator, sorry.
Wills _ I am enjoying your post .Tim asked me to post on a letter I wrote in Feb 09 for you to read .I only managed to copy part of it and the last part is also important .You can find it on DMCW archives above and seek the calandar date 12th march and then go to page two and you can read it in entirety .If you want to post it again in the next web posting of today sundays postings after when it appears.
should read 12th Feb 09
Will goto archives and gladly read up on that John ALLEN. Much appreciated on your posting yesterday and I wasted no time in reading through it and filing it for research and quality erudition on this banking tyranny holding our community to ransom.
wills, John ALLEN, I am glad that ye managed to sort that out so that wills can read the entirety.
Meantime, have a look at this piece of satire on George Lee:
http://vimeo.com/4772829
I know it’s a bank holiday but i read this and thought one could sub ireland for uk and get same result down at the 9th paragraph.., ‘trouble is british gov don’t think in industrial terms but in financial terms’…
Also, thinking in those terms on gov switched to purely fixating on everything in financial terms one muses on the doclands and it’s financial center and it’s role in the running of this country.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/may/31/will-hutton-britain-economic-reforms
wills, great link.
The “bank holiday” makes no difference to me: I have to work anyway. Computers still have to run on bank holidays. The POnsi borrowers and the very wealthy get to enjoy time off in bank-holidays……. not Joe-soap, like me.
No problem there: I like the work I do. In fact, it is “play”. I enjoy what I do, so it is not, really, “work”. That’s good.
If I have a difficulty with it, it is this: These people clogging up the roads at bank-holiday weekends, borrowing money to go and stay wherever they stay on these nights, are now asking me to pay for their folly.
What is this mentality of: “I must have a new FIAT Punto every year, because my neighbour buys a new car every year and I must go “away” every bank-holiday week-end because my neighbour does.”?????
I live in Wicklow. People come HERE for their holidays, for God’s sake! Why would I want to leave it? But people DO. Why?
I like where I am.
Why is that such a strange concept to most people?
Why do they not like the place that they are in?
I feel sad for them. I have heard people say that they live for the two weeks a year that they get away to Spain or France.
That is a terrible indictment of the choices they have made in their lives, I think.
You should live in a place that you like – not trying to “escape” from it on holidays.
The mind boggles.
Also, this on the Kenny Report (which has never been implemented, to stop property/land speculation):
http://images.google.ie/imgres?imgurl=http://dublinopinion.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/seanfitzpatrick1_207114t-1.JPG&imgrefurl=http://dublinopinion.com/2008/12/23/its-a-wonderful-life-says-anglo-execs/&usg=__cysEP6zUBXSl9e2MNhJ71CIBC1g=&h=319&w=312&sz=16&hl=en&start=12&tbnid=GOM2n_a2mdpAEM:&tbnh=118&tbnw=115&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dthe%2Bgalway%2Btent%26gbv%3D2%26hl%3Den%26safe%3Doff%26client%3Dfirefox-a%26rls%3Dorg.mozilla:en-GB:official%26sa%3DG
Folks, this on the EU issues:
http://vimeo.com/4428794